Swvl Holdings Corp Stock Performance
| SWVL Stock | USD 1.73 0.24 12.18% |
The entity has a beta of 2.4, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Swvl Holdings will likely underperform. At this point, Swvl Holdings Corp has a negative expected return of -0.7%. Please make sure to validate Swvl Holdings' potential upside and day median price , to decide if Swvl Holdings Corp performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Swvl Holdings Corp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite abnormal performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors. ...more
Last Split Factor 1:25 | Last Split Date 2023-01-26 |
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4 | Published on 2026-01-15 202147 - baoquankhu1.vn | 01/14/2026 |
5 | Short Interest in Swvl Holdings Corp. Declines By 26.5 | 02/02/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 2.9 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | 583.4 K | |
| Free Cash Flow | -3.6 M |
Swvl Holdings Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 293.00 in Swvl Holdings Corp on November 7, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (120.00) from holding Swvl Holdings Corp or give up 40.96% of portfolio value over 90 days. Swvl Holdings Corp is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 5.9633% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 53% of stocks are less volatile than Swvl, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Swvl Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Swvl Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 1.73 | 90 days | 1.73 | over 95.06 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Swvl Holdings to move above the current price in 90 days from now is over 95.06 (This Swvl Holdings Corp probability density function shows the probability of Swvl Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Swvl Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Swvl Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Swvl Holdings Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Swvl Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Swvl Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Swvl Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Swvl Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Swvl Holdings Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Swvl Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.85 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.40 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.43 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Swvl Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Swvl Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Swvl Holdings Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Swvl Holdings Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Swvl Holdings Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Swvl Holdings Corp may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Swvl Holdings Corp has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Swvl Holdings Corp currently holds 1.21 M in liabilities. Swvl Holdings Corp has a current ratio of 0.65, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Swvl Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 17.21 M. Net Loss for the year was (10.27 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.08 M. | |
| Swvl Holdings Corp currently holds about 24.3 M in cash with (3.57 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.18. | |
| Swvl Holdings Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Short Interest in Swvl Holdings Corp. Declines By 26.5 |
Swvl Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Swvl Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Swvl Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Swvl Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5 M |
Swvl Holdings Fundamentals Growth
Swvl Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Swvl Holdings, and Swvl Holdings fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Swvl Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -4.23 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.2 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.22) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (0.04) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 17.27 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 9.96 M | ||||
| Price To Book | 5.33 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.89 X | ||||
| Revenue | 17.21 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 4.08 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (10.55 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (10.27 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 24.3 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 0.18 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 1.21 M | ||||
| Current Ratio | 0.66 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 0.37 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (3.57 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.50) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 17.24 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 16.37 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (339.85 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | (5.59 M) | ||||
About Swvl Holdings Performance
By examining Swvl Holdings' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Swvl Holdings' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Swvl Holdings is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 0.03 | 0.03 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.57) | (0.60) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (19.59) | (18.62) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.57) | (0.60) | |
| Return On Equity | (4.08) | (4.28) |
Things to note about Swvl Holdings Corp performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Swvl Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Swvl Holdings Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Swvl Holdings Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Swvl Holdings Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Swvl Holdings Corp may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Swvl Holdings Corp has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Swvl Holdings Corp currently holds 1.21 M in liabilities. Swvl Holdings Corp has a current ratio of 0.65, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Swvl Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 17.21 M. Net Loss for the year was (10.27 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.08 M. | |
| Swvl Holdings Corp currently holds about 24.3 M in cash with (3.57 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.18. | |
| Swvl Holdings Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Short Interest in Swvl Holdings Corp. Declines By 26.5 |
- Analyzing Swvl Holdings' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Swvl Holdings' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Swvl Holdings' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Swvl Holdings' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Swvl Holdings' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Swvl Holdings' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Swvl Holdings' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Swvl Holdings Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real. You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Swvl Holdings. If investors know Swvl will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Swvl Holdings assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Earnings Share (0.50) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.263 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Understanding Swvl Holdings Corp requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Swvl's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Swvl Holdings' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Swvl Holdings' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Swvl Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Swvl Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Swvl Holdings' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.